Forecasting Elo of 57/100 — measures how accurately butterflysociety predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 57 / 100 |
| Total trades | 343 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 98 / 203 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +29.8% |
| Volume | $170,886 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 12.2% |
| Active for | 4.6 months |
| $1–10 | 13 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 23 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 42 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 20 bets/mo |
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