Ranked by forecasting skill (Elo), not just profit — plus win rate, ROI and P&L. Bots and arbitrage filtered out. Updated daily, verifiable on-chain.
Polymarket's own leaderboard ranks traders by raw profit, which mostly reflects who had the biggest bankroll or got lucky on a single bet. This leaderboard is different: it ranks 1,200+ Polymarket traders by forecasting skill using an Elo rating, so you can find the traders who are actually good at predicting outcomes — the ones worth copying.
Every resolved bet is scored as the actual outcome minus the market's implied probability at entry. Correctly calling a longshot (a low-priced, unlikely outcome) earns a large rating gain, while being wrong on a near-certain market costs more. Crucially, bet size is ignored — a sharp small account can outrank a whale who simply bets big. Ratings run on a 1–100 scale and are colour-coded: green (71–100) for the strongest forecasters, yellow (51–70) for solid, red (1–50) for weak.
The highest-profit wallet is rarely the most skilful. Sort the table above by Elo to see the most accurate forecasters, or by win rate, ROI and P&L to compare different styles. Every trader is verifiable on-chain via Polygon — click any name to open their Polymarket profile and check their history yourself. The leaderboard updates daily and excludes bots, arbitrage market-makers and last-minute "sure thing" bettors.
Found a trader you trust? Shadower mirrors the trades of top Polymarket traders to your own account in real time, with your own risk limits — minimum bet size, price range, hourly caps and auto-sell. Browse the rankings free above, then copy the ones that fit your strategy. Prefer a plain table? See the full list of all traders with wallet addresses.
Leaderboards by market: sports · politics · crypto. By metric: win rate · ROI · consistency · activity. What the data says this month: Polymarket Top Traders Report.
Trading prediction markets involves risk. Past performance of the wallets shown does not guarantee future results. Shadower is a tool, not financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Not affiliated with Polymarket, Inc. You are responsible for making sure that using prediction markets and Shadower is legal where you live.