Forecasting Elo of 56/100 — measures how accurately Spicer predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 56 / 100 |
| Total trades | 397 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 21 / 23 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -65.5% |
| Volume | $452,911 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 3.8% |
| Active for | 7.3 months |
| $1–10 | 59 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 67 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 73 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 147 bets/mo |
| $10K+ | 5 bets/mo |
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