Forecasting Elo of 67/100 — measures how accurately duraley predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 67 / 100 |
| Total trades | 324 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 168 / 237 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +2.0% |
| Volume | $190,340 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 3.4% |
| Active for | 2.0 months |
| $1–10 | 1 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 6 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 159 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 31 bets/mo |
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