Forecasting Elo of 71/100 — measures how accurately papuas predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 71 / 100 |
| Total trades | 787 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 165 / 207 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -41.6% |
| Volume | $978,355 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 0.9% |
| Active for | 4.2 months |
| $1–10 | 1 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 25 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 234 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 344 bets/mo |
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