Forecasting Elo of 58/100 — measures how accurately lostapiv predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 58 / 100 |
| Total trades | 50 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 18 / 24 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -4.4% |
| Volume | $25,371 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 2.0% |
| Active for | 19.8 months |
| $11–100 | 2 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 33 bets/mo |
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