Forecasting Elo of 58/100 — measures how accurately satford predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 58 / 100 |
| Total trades | 421 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 167 / 269 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -6.1% |
| Volume | $142,952 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 8.8% |
| Active for | 8.3 months |
| $11–100 | 1 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 33 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 7 bets/mo |
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