Forecasting Elo of 46/100 — measures how accurately hopedieslast predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 46 / 100 |
| Total trades | 1,940 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 41 / 87 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +66.1% |
| Volume | $884,624 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 22.5% |
| Active for | 3.2 months |
| $1–10 | 139 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 72 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 52 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 17 bets/mo |
| $10K+ | 2 bets/mo |
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