Forecasting Elo of 49/100 — measures how accurately hagel-shop predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 49 / 100 |
| Total trades | 696 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 203 / 294 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -5.8% |
| Volume | $59,056 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 14.5% |
| Active for | 6.6 months |
| $1–10 | 116 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 316 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 24 bets/mo |
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