Forecasting Elo of 52/100 — measures how accurately Thukydides predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 52 / 100 |
| Total trades | 2,313 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 57 / 91 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -12.1% |
| Volume | $494,337 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 9.0% |
| Active for | 2.7 months |
| $1–10 | 82 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 121 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 130 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 36 bets/mo |
| $10K+ | 1 bets/mo |
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