Forecasting Elo of 81/100 — measures how accurately simpson10 predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 81 / 100 |
| Total trades | 2,251 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 763 / 1,144 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +10.7% |
| Volume | $461,005 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 13.2% |
| Active for | 3.4 months |
| $1–10 | 249 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 296 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 232 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 13 bets/mo |
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