Forecasting Elo of 78/100 — measures how accurately degenm predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 78 / 100 |
| Total trades | 2,406 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 818 / 1,477 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +29.0% |
| Volume | $244,068 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 11.2% |
| Active for | 3.8 months |
| $1–10 | 119 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 109 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 48 bets/mo |
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