Forecasting Elo of 53/100 — measures how accurately Rafalcaraz predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 53 / 100 |
| Total trades | 257 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 13 / 25 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +38.8% |
| Volume | $75,455 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 6.6% |
| Active for | 5.8 months |
| $1–10 | 23 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 27 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 15 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 4 bets/mo |
| $10K+ | 2 bets/mo |
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