Forecasting Elo of 40/100 — measures how accurately pclayne predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 40 / 100 |
| Total trades | 730 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 296 / 618 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -1.6% |
| Volume | $86,278 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 9.3% |
| Active for | 21.0 months |
| $11–100 | 6 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 8 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 4 bets/mo |
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