Forecasting Elo of 61/100 — measures how accurately LucasPaqueta predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 61 / 100 |
| Total trades | 2,508 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 267 / 544 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +21.4% |
| Volume | $277,375 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 3.8% |
| Active for | 3.3 months |
| $1–10 | 26 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 23 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 32 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 1 bets/mo |
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