Forecasting Elo of 58/100 — measures how accurately Ogbum predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 58 / 100 |
| Total trades | 62 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 39 / 54 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -75.2% |
| Volume | $126,428 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 3.2% |
| Active for | 4.4 months |
| $101–1K | 2 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 5 bets/mo |
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