Forecasting Elo of 49/100 — measures how accurately dumbguy predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 49 / 100 |
| Total trades | 264 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 150 / 237 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -9.8% |
| Volume | $96,545 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 0.0% |
| Active for | 18.4 months |
| $11–100 | 4 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 16 bets/mo |
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