Forecasting Elo of 64/100 — measures how accurately Aurasi predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 64 / 100 |
| Total trades | 264 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 90 / 124 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -6.6% |
| Volume | $37,576 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 7.2% |
| Active for | 6.5 months |
| $1–10 | 42 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 84 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 82 bets/mo |
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