Forecasting Elo of 45/100 — measures how accurately RealDeal predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 45 / 100 |
| Total trades | 2,019 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 175 / 264 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +5.4% |
| Volume | $339,841 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 18.7% |
| Active for | 18.4 months |
| $11–100 | 2 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 2 bets/mo |
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