Forecasting Elo of 55/100 — measures how accurately LightningAndTheThunder predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 55 / 100 |
| Total trades | 108 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 32 / 49 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +35.0% |
| Volume | $15,125 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 7.4% |
| Active for | 3.3 months |
| $1–10 | 19 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 13 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 21 bets/mo |
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