Forecasting Elo of 62/100 — measures how accurately Arnus predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 62 / 100 |
| Total trades | 107 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 47 / 74 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -70.2% |
| Volume | $19,983 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 15.0% |
| Active for | 19.8 months |
| $1–10 | 1 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 12 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 33 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 4 bets/mo |
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