Forecasting Elo of 47/100 — measures how accurately okhotkin predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 47 / 100 |
| Total trades | 186 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 30 / 50 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | +32.5% |
| Volume | $31,247 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 8.6% |
| Active for | 8.8 months |
| $11–100 | 2 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 3 bets/mo |
| $1K–10K | 3 bets/mo |
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