Forecasting Elo of 63/100 — measures how accurately WillyPenguin predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 63 / 100 |
| Total trades | 202 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 109 / 171 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -78.7% |
| Volume | $6,119 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 9.4% |
| Active for | 5.9 months |
| $1–10 | 26 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 55 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 11 bets/mo |
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