Forecasting Elo of 61/100 — measures how accurately tolicien predicts Polymarket outcomes (correct longshots score higher, bet size ignored). Higher is better; 71+ is a strong forecaster.
| Forecasting Elo (skill) | 61 / 100 |
| Total trades | 64 |
| Wins / Closed markets | 29 / 33 |
| ROI (last 30 days) | -8.6% |
| Volume | $3,091 |
| Late bets (>85¢) | 20.3% |
| Active for | 2.0 months |
| $1–10 | 6 bets/mo |
| $11–100 | 33 bets/mo |
| $101–1K | 11 bets/mo |
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